EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2020-06-01
Management highlights
- The live video broadcasting business remained the focal point throughout the pandemic, maintaining strong growth momentum.
- COVID-19 impacted the fashion industry, but LVB helped merchants reach customers and collect small orders. Offline apparel suppliers embraced LVB.
- MOGU is positioned to capture opportunities with its KOL operation and supply chain control. ARPU is increasing, and LVB hosts are bonding with users via quality products.
- Deployed LVB brand strategy to enrich supply chain with brand apparel products, achieving significant GMV with Nike and Adidas in one night.
Segment performance
The live video broadcasting (LVB) business was a key growth driver. LVB-associated GMV during the fourth quarter increased by 54.1% year over year to RMB 1.6 billion, and for fiscal year 2020, it grew 91.6% to RMB 7.9 billion. The LVB business accounted for 65.4% of the Q4 GMV and 46.2% of the entire fiscal year 2020 GMV. Active buyers of the LVB business in the last 12 months grew 44.9% year over year to 3.6 million.
Guidance
- The LVB business is identified as the main growth driver going forward.
- Confident in capturing the growth potential of LVB e-commerce in China.
Risks
- COVID-19 disrupted the fashion industry, with factory shutdowns, reduced sales, and wholesale market drops.
- Uncertainties related to market competition and execution of growth strategies for LVB business.
Q&A highlights
Q: Regarding the strategy of the LVB business in the near future, how to expand GMV?
A: Focus on supply chain empowerment (helping KOLs source brands, factories, etc.) and expanding proprietary traffic within the MOGU app to improve LVB efficiency.
Q: About liquidity and KOL base pay?
A: Liquidity not a concern as LVB grows, and base pay for KOLs is a long-term investment to incubate talent with revenue mainly from commissions.
Q: About cuts in sales and marketing expenses?
A: Shift to LVB model where live video broadcasting customers are sticky, and focus on targeted marketing for LVB hosts' fans.
Q: Breakdown of host numbers and 2Q guidance?
A: Host breakdown not specifically disclosed, but diversified influencers are valued; no revenue guidance but confident in LVB's future growth.
Q: Recovery process of apparel category?
A: Short-term impacted by COVID-19, medium to long-term driven by Chinese GDP and culture, with focus on value-for-money products and bridging KOLs with supply chain partners.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — |
Transcript
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Prior quarters
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