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FAT

Fat Brands, Inc

Fat Brands, Inc Q4 FY2023 earnings call

March 7, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2023-12

EPS · actual vs est

$-1.68 / $-1.55Miss -8.4%

Revenue · actual vs est

$158.6M / $150.4MBeat +5.5%
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Summary

Generated 2024-03-07

Management highlights

  • The company expanded to 18 concepts with over 2,300 locations across more than 40 countries and 49 states.
  • In 2023, 125 new units were opened, with 29 in Q4, and 2024 projects at least 125 new units.
  • Signed development deals for over 225 new franchise locations, with a development pipeline over 1,100 units.
  • Milestones included Twin Peaks' 100th location, Great American Cookies' 400th location, and re-entries of brands like Fatburger in new markets.
  • Acquired Smokey Bones in Q4 2023, which is expected to increase annual adjusted EBITDA by ~$10 million.
  • Co-branding initiatives with incremental sales lift of 10%-20%, and new development deals in Texas.
  • Manufacturing facility utilization increased to ~45% in 2023, with potential to double capacity.
  • FAT Brands foundation awarded over $250,000 to 43 local nonprofits in 2023.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In 2023, FAT Brands grew total revenue over 18% to $480.5 million from $407.2 million in the prior year. System-wide sales increased 6.9% to $2.3 billion. Adjusted EBITDA ended 2023 at $91.2 million, a nearly 3% increase from $88.9 million in 2022. Fourth quarter total revenue grew 52.8% to $158.6 million. System-wide sales in the fourth quarter grew to $626.7 million, a 16.5% increase. The manufacturing facility generated $38 million in sales in 2023, a 13% increase over the prior year. Royalties increased 10.4%, company-owned restaurant revenues grew 80.5%, and manufacturing facility revenues rose 10%.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Project to open at least 125 new units in 2024.
  • Twin Peaks aims to open 100-plus restaurants in 2024, with over 125 new franchise deals signed for Twin Peaks.
  • Plan to take Twin Peaks public, with timing subject to market conditions, potentially a Q3 event.
  • Intend to refinance securitization facilities for Twin Peaks, Fazoli's, and Native Grill & Wings.
  • Focus on strategic acquisitions that are EBITDA accretive and delevering events.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Uncertainties related to legal matters, as indicated by the Wells notice and ongoing legal expenses.
  • Deal environment where sellers' prices haven't aligned with the company's price tolerance due to interest rate and economic factors.
  • Impact of commodity cost fluctuations and upcoming minimum wage increases in California.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Could you talk about the Wells notice and litigation costs?

A: There's not much to disclose beyond public disclosures. Legal expenses are being pursued for reimbursement from insurance.

Q: Any growth opportunities in non-traditional locations?

A: Non-traditional locations are performing well, with openings in Great Wolf Lodge, Six Flags, Stanford University, and airports.

Q: Goals for refinancing securitizations?

A: Aiming to refinance to address amortization starting in 2025, take advantage of IPO proceeds for debt reduction, and align with Twin Peaks' potential public offering.

Q: Timing of Twin Peaks IPO?

A: Hoping for a Q3 event, with filing of S-1 on a confidential basis and then going through SEC process.

Q: Conversion possibilities of Smokey Bones to Twin Peaks?

A: A fair number of Smokey Bones stores are being considered for conversion, with negotiations ongoing.

Q: Tone of domestic business?

A: Business is solid, but commodity costs have come down, and there's traffic pushback on price increases due to consumer limits, with minimum wage increases in California affecting prices.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-1.68$-1.55-8.4%$-2.60
Revenue$158.6M$150.4M+5.5%$103.8M

Transcript

March 7, 2024

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