EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-05-01
Management highlights
Organic Growth
- Continued development momentum with 16 new units opened in Q1, with 44 expected this quarter and a projection of 125-150 new units in 2024.
- Hosted FAT Brands Franchise Summit in Las Vegas, resulting in signed or planned development deals for over 100 new restaurants, with a pipeline of over 1,100 additional units.
Polished Casual Segment (Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones)
- Twin Peaks: Industry-leading average unit volumes around $6 million, with 3 new lodges opened in Q1, planning to open 15-18 in 2024, and over 125 new franchise deals signed for the next 5 years.
- Smokey Bones: Acquisition in Q4 2023, expected to increase annual adjusted EBITDA by ~$10 million, with over half of 61 existing locations to be converted to Twin Peaks.
International Expansion
- Fazoli's signed a development deal for 25 locations in Canada over 10 years, with first units expected in 2025.
- Marble Sub Creamery signed a deal for 40 new locations in Canada over 10 years, with first locations slated to open by end of 2024.
- Round Table Pizza signed new development deals in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
Co-Branding and Nontraditional Units
- Grand opening of first West Coast Johnny Rockets and Hurricane Wings co-branded restaurant, and new development yield for 40 Fatburger locations in Northern California inside Round Table Pizza locations.
- Continued success in nontraditional units like airports, cruise lines, etc.
Manufacturing Facility
- Georgia-based manufacturing facility generated $9.5 million in sales in Q1, a 3.4% increase, with utilization at ~45% and potential to double output with $1.5 million capital expenditure.
FAT Brands Foundation
- Hosted giving back event at Summit, delivered $10,000 grant, raised over $75,000, with FAT Brands donating an additional $50,000.
Segment performance
Total revenue in the first quarter grew 43.8% to $152 million compared to $105.7 million in the prior year quarter. System-wide sales in the first quarter grew $581.8 million, a 4.8% increase from the prior year quarter. First quarter EBITDA was $9.4 million compared to $7.7 million in the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA was $18.2 million compared to $19.2 million in last year's first quarter. Our manufacturing facility generated $9.5 million in sales in the first quarter, a 3.4% increase over the prior year, and contributed $3.7 million to adjusted EBITDA.
Guidance
Unit Growth
- Project to open 125-150 new units in 2024, with 15-18 Twin Peaks planned for 2024 and accelerated growth in 2025-2026.
Manufacturing Utilization
- Potential to double factory output capability with $1.5 million capital expenditure if demand exists.
Twin Peaks Expansion
- Anticipate accelerated opening of Twin Peaks units in 2025-2026, with conversions expected to take ~120 days.
Risks
Uncertainties
- Actual results may differ materially from forward-looking statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including market conditions, franchisee development progress, and integration of acquisitions.
Q&A highlights
Q: Could you update on factory utilization and Twin Peaks conversion timing?
A: Utilization is roughly 45% today, can double capacity with $1.5 million investment. Twin Peaks conversions take ~120 days once construction starts.
Q: On same-store sales drop and Twin Peaks IPO?
A: Same-store sales affected by weather in January, with segments varying; working diligently on Twin Peaks IPO, expect to be on file soon, with Smokey Bones audit expected to be completed by end of week.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-2.37 | $-1.39 | -70.5% | — |
| Revenue | $152.0M | $157.6M | -3.5% | — |
Transcript
May 1, 2024Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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