Daily ideas
RNR sees U.S. general liability loss trends at 10%-12% versus 8%-10% rate gains as third-party capital expands casualty reinsurance supply.

Celestica capex rose to 4.7% of revenue from 1.2% as contract manufacturers add factory power to test liquid-cooled AI racks, while ASMPT SMT bookings rose 122%.

CenterPoint, AEP and FirstEnergy say large loads used up spare transmission capacity, so new spending targets regional grid work as suppliers book into 2027-2029.

Cadence says its design IP business now earns royalties and Rambus won pre-standard HBM IP deals as hyperscalers buy custom chip IP directly and early.

DoorDash grew Q2 2026 revenue 36% to $4.45 billion, or 24% excluding Deliveroo; Q3 tests whether organic orders hold above 16% at a 13.5% take rate.

INNIO expects more than $50,000 of annual service revenue per MW from data center gas engines, about 70% above its fleet; Wärtsilä sees the same shift but has no orders yet.

Alnylam grew Q2 2026 revenue 67% to $1.29 billion after cutting TTR guidance to $4.2-$4.5 billion; Q3 tests whether first-line AMVUTTRA demand holds.

Clearwater Paper says about 800,000 tons of SBS paperboard output left the market and a $60/t increase stuck, while Elopak's Americas growth is capped by board supply.

Apollo's Q2 2026 Fee Related Earnings rose 25.2% to $785 million while Athene's first-half spread earnings fell 1.8%; Q3 results test whether that spread starts to grow.

Cboe's Q2 2026 net revenue rose 25% to $731.6 million on record index options volume; Q3 earnings test whether index options ADV holds above 6 million contracts.

Cognizant grew Q2 2026 revenue 4.1% in constant currency to $5.48 billion, only about 1.4 points of it organic services; Q3 hinges on whether Financial Services stays above 10%.

Kenvue's Q2 sales rose 3.0% to $3.955 billion while adjusted gross margin fell to 60.2%; Q3 tests whether Self Care volume turns positive and margin stops sliding.

Rocket Companies earned $229 million on $2.78 billion of Q2 2026 revenue after absorbing Mr. Cooper; Q3 earnings test whether share gains and synergies offset a smaller mortgage market.

Manulife's Q2 2026 core earnings rose 12% to C$1.92 billion as Asia's NBV margin fell to 36.3%; Q3 tests whether Hong Kong savings sales grow without more margin loss.

EOG Resources earned $2.72 billion in Q2 2026 at $98.15 oil while crude output held near 548,000 barrels a day; Q3 earnings test whether oil growth resumes.

Cheniere Partners' Sabine Pass terminal earned $983 million of Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA on 396 TBtu; Q3 earnings test whether summer volumes and margin per MMBtu hold.

YouGov (YUGVF) and Zedge (ZDGE) say AI labs and robotics developers now pay for human survey and task-video data that cannot be scraped, moving margin to panel owners.

The real fell more than 11% to 5.58 per dollar after Lula won Brazil's runoff, which could cut dollar costs for Brazil-based miners Ero Copper and Nexa Resources.

Energy Transfer's Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $5.07 billion on NGL export premiums and Waha spreads; Q3 tests whether fee volumes hold growth as spreads fade.

TSMC buys silicon interposers from GlobalFoundries and Amkor has prepayment deals with about 12 customers as AI chip packaging capacity runs short.
