EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-02-08
Management highlights
Management Statement and Operational Highlights
- Five shifts already made: positive volume growth in Q4, gross margin expansion, tightened operations/working capital, increased brand/marketing investment on Power Brands, changes in Ice Cream and portfolio.
- Growth Action Plan focus: 30 Power Brands as growth drivers, superior brand superiority framework, multiyear scalable innovation programs, productivity and simplicity initiatives (including network optimization, vertical integration, sustainability focus on 4 key platforms), refreshed performance culture with new leadership and remuneration changes.
Segment performance
Segment Performance
- Beauty & Wellbeing: Full year underlying sales growth 8.3%, with 7.9% in Q4 driven by 6.3% volume growth. Health & Wellbeing and Prestige Beauty (27% of turnover) had double-digit volume-led growth. Hair had positive volume growth, while Carver's performance in China was weak.
- Personal Care: Underlying sales growth 8.9% for the year, 6.4% in Q4. Deodorants had mid-teens growth. Dove and Rexona/Axe benefited from 72-hour protection tech, but competitiveness in U.S. was an issue.
- Home Care: Volumes positive in second half, price growth decelerated. Exposed to emerging markets, impacted by commodity prices. Fabric enhancers and Home & Hygiene grew in some regions.
- Nutrition: Price-led growth 7.7% in year, 4.7% in Q4. Europe had volume drag from private label. Knorr and Hellmann's grew, Professional Food Solutions had double-digit growth.
- Ice Cream: Grew 2.3% with 8.8% price growth, 6% volume decline. Disappointing with consumer down-trading. New leadership team working on competitiveness.
Guidance
Guidance
- Underlying sales growth expected 3%-5% with improved volume contribution.
- Modest improvement in underlying operating margin driven by gross margin expansion.
- Capital returns: attractive dividend with EUR 1.5 billion share buyback starting Q2, coinciding with Elida Beauty disposal proceeds.
Risks
Risks
- Currency impact on turnover and earnings.
- Competitiveness issues with 75 basis point share decline.
- Ice Cream underperformance with consumer down-trading.
- Commodity cycles affecting markets like India and Indonesia.
Q&A highlights
Question and Answer
Q: On the guidance of 3%-5% growth and cultural change, what's the mix of price and volume growth and cultural momentum?
A: Hein states guidance balances mix, price, and volume, with volumes playing a part in growth. Cultural momentum improved with renewed energy from Growth Action Plan.
Q: On pricing outlook and operating margin, how is pricing expected and margin improvement planned?
A: Hein and Fernando discuss inflation, pricing adjustments in markets like India, and margin improvement through gross margin expansion and productivity initiatives.
Q: On Prestige brands and their global expansion, what's the plan?
A: Fernando mentions Prestige brands like Liquid I.V. and Dermalogica have strong growth, with plans for global rollout after solidifying in North America.
Q: On SKU rationalization and divisional heads, what's the progress?
A: Hein talks about significant SKU rationalization, and divisional heads are aligned with Growth Action Plan, with progress on new roles and leadership appointments.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.28 | $1.41 | -9.2% | $2.00 |
| Revenue | $32.09B | $30.05B | +6.8% | $32.80B |
Transcript
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