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UAN

CVR PARTNERS, LP

CVR PARTNERS, LP Q4 FY2024 earnings call

February 19, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

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Summary

Generated 2025-02-19

Management highlights

  • Financial highlights: Q4 2024 net sales $140M, net income $18M, EBITDA $50M; full year 2024 EBITDA $179M, distributions $6.76 per common unit.
  • Operations: 2024 had a 40% reduction in total recordable incident rate. Q4 2024 ammonia utilization 96%, producing 210,000 gross tons. UAN production 310,000 tons sold at $229/ton. East Dubuque had 102% ammonia utilization and 399,000 tons ammonia production in 2024.
  • Capital spending: Q4 2024 capital spending $18M (maintenance), full year 2024 $37M (30M maintenance). 2025 maintenance CapEx estimated $35-$45M, growth CapEx $20-$25M.
  • Distributions: Board declared Q4 2024 distribution of $1.75 per common unit, paid March 10, 2025.
  • Projects: Coffeyville facility has detailed engineering studies for dual fuel (natural gas/petcoke) project. Debottlenecking projects to improve reliability and production rates. Installed new boilers in Coffeyville in Q4 2024. Planning nitrous oxide abatement unit at Coffeyville in fall 2025 turnaround.
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Segment performance

For the fourth quarter of 2024, net sales were $140 million, net income was $18 million, and EBITDA was $50 million. For the full year 2024, net sales were $525 million, operating income was $90 million, net income was $61 million (or $5.76 per common unit), and EBITDA was $179 million. In the fourth quarter of 2024, ammonia production was 210,000 gross tons (80,000 net tons available for sale) with an annual utilization rate of 96%. UAN production was 310,000 tons, sold at an average price of $229 per ton. Ammonia was sold at an average price of $475 per ton, with sales volumes in line with Q4 2023 for ammonia and down ~3% for UAN due to weather. The ammonia utilization rate for the full year 2024 was 96%, with East Dubuque achieving a 102% utilization rate and producing ~399,000 tons of ammonia. Revenue contributions aren't explicitly broken down by product segment in terms of percentage, but net sales and EBITDA are provided for the overall company.

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Guidance

  • Q1 2025: Ammonia utilization rate expected to be between 95% and 100%. Direct operating expenses expected to be $55 to $65 million excluding inventory impacts. Total capital spending expected to be between $12 and $16 million.
  • 2025: Maintenance capital spending estimated $35 to $45 million, growth capital spending $20 to $25 million. Significant portion of growth capital spending to be funded from reserved cash over past two years.
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Risks

  • Geopolitical risks: Middle East and Ukraine conflicts could impact energy and fertilizer markets. Potential tariffs on foreign fertilizer and energy imports, particularly Canadian products.
  • Natural gas: Europe has drawn down natural gas inventories more than expected, with concerns about replenishment before winter 2025. Europe's ammonia production costs are high, leading to potential supply constraints.
  • Pet coke: While pet coke prices have softened in the US, future changes could affect costs.
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Q&A highlights

Q: Have you seen any changes in customer ordering patterns with the Fed lowering short-term rates?

A: We have not seen any real change in customer ordering patterns. Still seeing more ratable buying.

Q: Timing of the Coffeyville dual fuel project?

A: If approved by the board, construction would start this year to have the option to choose feedstock by year-end for 2026.

Q: Market trends, impact of UAN demand due to higher urea prices, UAN and ammonia inventories, and trends towards UAN vs ammonia?

A: Urea is tight globally, lifting UAN and ammonia prices. Customers are seeing more corn acreage, leading to stronger demand for nitrogens. UAN looks attractive, and there may be a pickup in UAN and urea in spring for unfulfilled fall orders.

Q: CapEx excluding turnaround reserves for the balance of 2025?

A: Expect no substantial change in reserves. Growth projects' balance has already been reserved, and reserves will continue at a comparable level.

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Transcript

February 19, 2025

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