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TJX

TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/

TJX COMPANIES INC /DE/ Q4 FY2025 earnings call

February 26, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-01

EPS · actual vs est

$1.23 / $1.17Beat +5.5%

Revenue · actual vs est

$16.35B / $16.29BBeat +0.4%
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Summary

Generated 2025-02-26

Management highlights

  • Business Update: Impressive fourth quarter with sales, profitability, and EPS above expectations. Overall comp sales growth 5% driven by customer transactions across divisions. Full-year sales exceeded $56 billion and 5,000th store opened.
  • Divisional Highlights: Each division achieved comp sales growth of 4% or above. Marmax, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International all performed well.
  • Key Differentiators: Valued leadership in multiple regions, wide demographic appeal, flexible business model, differentiated treasure hunt shopping experience, world-class buying team, long-term store potential (aiming for 7,000 stores), joint ventures in Mexico and Middle East, and strong corporate responsibility initiatives.
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Segment performance

Fourth Quarter 2025

  • Net sales reached $16.4 billion, a 5% increase vs adjusted last year. Consolidated comp sales grew 5%, driven by customer transactions. Pretax profit margin was 11.6%, up 70 basis points. Gross margin rose 100 basis points. Diluted EPS was $1.23, up 10% vs adjusted last year. Divisional performance: TJX Canada comp sales increased 10%, and TJX International comp sales were up 7%.

Full-Year Fiscal 2025

  • Full-year net sales surpassed $56 billion. Consolidated comp store sales grew 4%, driven by customer transactions. Pretax profit margin was 11.5%, up 60 basis points. SG&A was 19.4%, up 10 basis points. Full-year EPS was $4.26, up 13% vs last year. Divisions: Marmax overall sales exceeded $34 billion with 4% comp growth; HomeGoods sales reached $9.4 billion with 4% comp growth; TJX Canada sales were $5.2 billion with 5% comp growth; TJX International sales exceeded $7 billion with 4% comp growth.
View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Full-Year Fiscal 2026: Planning comp store sales growth 2%-3%. Consolidated sales expected $58.1B-$58.6B, up 3%-4%. Pretax profit margin 11.3%-11.4%, down 10-20 basis points. Gross margin 30.4%-30.5%, down 10-20 basis points. SG&A 19.3%, 10 basis points favorable. EPS $4.34-$4.43, up 2%-4%.
  • First Quarter 2026: Comp sales expected 2%-3%. Consolidated sales $12.8B-$12.9B. Pretax profit margin 10%-10.1%, down 100-110 basis points. Gross margin 29.8%-29.9%, down 10-20 basis points.
  • Capital Plans: Capex $2.1B-$2.2B, 130 net new stores, 500 remodels, 40 relocations.
  • Cash Distributions: Dividend increased 13% to $0.425 per share, buyback $2B-$2.5B.
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Risks

  • Foreign Exchange: Unfavorable foreign exchange rates impact consolidated sales and margins.
  • China Tariffs: Potential impact on future buys, but management confident in navigating.
  • Weather: Adverse weather patterns can affect sales in specific regions.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: What drove the stronger performance in Canada and international?

A: Tactical execution, flow plan in gift-giving period, mix advantage in both regions. Expect them to continue outperforming due to seasoned management and strong execution.

Q: Expectations for merchandise margins and shrink?

A: Mark on strategy, favorable shrink improvement plans. Navigating tariffs by buyers focusing on retail price and working backwards on costs.

Q: Store growth and real estate plans?

A: Plan to add 130 net new stores, opportunities in various markets including smaller footprint stores. Joint ventures in Mexico and Middle East with growth plans.

Q: Q1 guidance and profitability?

A: Timing of expenses, one-time items like CARES Act benefit reversal, and inventory hedge impacts contribute to Q1 guidance, but last nine months expected to have flat to up pretax margin and higher EPS.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$1.23$1.17+5.5%$1.22
Revenue$16.35B$16.29B+0.4%$16.41B

Transcript

February 26, 2025

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