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TGT

TARGET CORP

TARGET CORP Q1 FY2025 earnings call

May 21, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-04

EPS · actual vs est

$1.30 / $1.57Miss -17.1%

Revenue · actual vs est

$23.85B / $24.15BMiss -1.3%
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Summary

Generated 2025-05-21

Management highlights

Brian thanked the team for their focus on serving guests. The company faced challenges like declining consumer confidence and tariffs. Merchandising team mitigated tariff impact by diversifying production and assortments. Digital business saw growth, e.g., same-day delivery up 36%. Inventory shrink improved. Store remodels boosted traffic and sales. Formed Enterprise Acceleration office to accelerate strategy.

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Segment performance

Target did not provide detailed segment performance breakdown by product segments in terms of absolute financials and revenue contribution percentages in the transcript.

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Guidance

Management expects low single-digit decline in sales for the full year. Adjusted EPS guidance is in the range of $7 to $9, with GAAP EPS range about $1 higher at $8 to $10, reflecting tariffs and economic uncertainty.

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Risks

Risks include five consecutive months of declining consumer confidence, uncertainty regarding potential tariffs, and inventory and receipt adjustment costs due to softer sales.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Is your expectation that comps turn positive in the back half or by the fourth quarter? And on the gross margin line, will the inventory adjustment cost essentially be behind you such that in the back half to shrink tailwinds and advertising and so forth will allow gross margin to be up?

A: Jim said they expect low single-digit declines for the balance of the year, including Q4, and inventory and receipt adjustment costs mostly in the first half.

Q: Can you talk a little bit more about how you're going about tariffs and what your view is on prices in the back half and any demand elasticity?

A: Rick said they are committed to high-quality product at affordable prices, using strategies like diversifying country of production, evolving assortment, and partnering with vendors to offset most tariff impact.

Q: What are some of the key efforts, tactics to help drive stronger traffic and in-store trends?

A: Brian said focus on retail fundamentals like being in stock, great in-store experience; Rick mentioned leaning into seasonal moments, new launches like Nintendo Switch 2 and Champion, and using media to drive traffic.

Q: Is it right to characterize the challenge that Target has experienced in the last few years is that other retailers have caught up and addressed some of the differentiation and qualities that have made Target unique?

A: Brian said focus on retail fundamentals, newness, and technology acceleration; Rick mentioned gaining or holding share in 15 categories by delivering newness at great value.

Q: Are you saying that $7 to $9 includes the 30% tariff on China that most of the offset can take place without pricing and that your confidence in hitting that target, that guidance is very high?

A: Brian and Jim said guidance includes consideration of tariffs and uncertainty, and they have built scenarios with tariffs and are flexible to take actions in the plan.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$1.30$1.57-17.1%$2.03
Revenue$23.85B$24.15B-1.3%$24.53B

Transcript

May 21, 2025

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Prior quarters

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