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QXO

QXO, Inc.

QXO, Inc. Q2 FY2023 earnings call

August 6, 2023 · fiscal period ended 2023-06

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Summary

Generated 2023-08-06

Management highlights

  • Building a winning culture: Released second annual corporate social responsibility report, reduced scope one and two GHG emissions intensity by 5.7% in 2022 relative to 2020 base, and launched an employee stock purchase program with over 20% of employees participating.
  • Driving growth: Digital sales increased 28% year-over-year with 21% of residential sales through online platform; customer experience (CX) initiative rolled out to 6 new markets, with average on-time delivery percentage increasing; added 14 green fields and 31 branches since last year; completed purchase of Silver State Building Materials and acquired 9 companies adding 30 branches.
  • Operational excellence: OTC network with nearly 280 branches, leveraging BeaconTrack software for improved network speed and delivery tracking; executing Strategic Branch Optimization Initiative to improve productivity and reduce wait times.
  • Shareholder value: Repurchased entirety of outstanding preferred shares owned by CD&R for over $800 million, retired ~9.7 million common shares; repurchased ~$100 million of common stock year-to-date through July 31, reducing common shares outstanding.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In the second quarter, Beacon achieved over $2.5 billion in total net sales, a little more than 6% year-over-year growth driven by acquisitions and higher average selling prices. Residential roofing sales per day were higher by 8.5%, with volume up mid-single digits and price up low-single digits. Non-residential roofing sales declined by less than 2% per day, with higher prices offsetting lower volumes. Complimentary sales per day increased nearly 12% year-over-year due to the acquisition of coastal and higher prices across most complementary product lines. Revenue contribution: Price contributed approximately 2%-3% to growth, acquisitions including coastal construction products contributed ~4% to daily net sales year-over-year, and organic volumes per day were flat to down 1%.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Full-year net sales guidance raised to 4%-6% from prior 2%-4% due to better Resi volumes in second half and August price increase.
  • Adjusted EBITDA expected to be $850M-$890M for full year 2023, an increase from pre-release guidance.
  • Gross margin expected mid to high 25% range, with inventory profit roll off partially offset by improvement initiatives.
  • Expect sales per day growth 7%-9% year-over-year in Q3, slightly better than July pacing of ~7%.
  • Plan to execute on greenfield locations with more than 20-25 branches in 2023.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Market conditions changing, including excess contractor inventory headwinds (largely behind us but still a factor).
  • Labor market tightness affecting staffing and costs.
  • Supply chain tightness, with manufacturers low on inventory, regional product differences, and manufacturer inventory levels impacting residential supply.
  • Impact of weather events and regulatory changes on specific regions and product segments, such as Florida labor laws affecting market and energy efficiency regulations impacting waterproofing and insulation segments.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Drivers of the new guidance range?

A: Better Resi volumes in the second half of the year and the August price increase.

Q: Inventory and margin in Q3?

A: Less inventory profit compared to last year, and not a huge driver of inventory profits in Q3.

Q: Region trends?

A: Mixed, with storms impacting various regions, some market changes from Q1 to Q2.

Q: Supply chain in residential?

A: Tight market, manufacturers low on inventory, regional product differences.

Q: Storm contribution to growth?

A: Above 10-year average, but hard to quantify exactly.

Q: OpEx leverage in the back half?

A: Continued leverage expected, with lower incentive compensation and fuel costs helping.

Q: Non-Res segment outlook?

A: Bidding activity up, project sizes smaller, with R&R more significant than new Res.

Q: Gross margin differential between segments?

A: Resi and complementary higher, non-Res lower due to more inflation.

Q: Variables affecting EBITDA guidance?

A: Price increase execution, storm activity, and performance of greenfields and acquisitions.

Q: Impact of energy efficiency regulations?

A: Seen in waterproofing repair work and commercial insulation, tied to regulations and long-run trends towards more insulation.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

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Transcript

August 6, 2023

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