EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-03-19
Management highlights
• End-of-life memory IC: Completed $3.4M shipments in Q4 2024 against remaining backlog, with full year 2024 memory IC shipments at ~$12.9M and remaining backlog of ~$2.3M to be completed in March 2025. • mmWave progress: Diversified customer base with over 100 engagements, 60+ commercial products in production across 11 customers, $3.6M purchase order received from a strategic customer, DUNE mmWave platform gaining traction, and military defense application with a lead customer upsizing an order. • Market trends: FWA market growing with 5G fixed wireless access projected to capture significant share, BEAD program showing potential for tech-neutral funding benefiting mmWave, and tactical defense applications expanding with mmWave's stealth and bandwidth capabilities.
Segment performance
Product segments include memory IC and mmWave. Fourth quarter 2024 total net revenue was $3.7M, with product revenue from memory IC and mmWave at $3.7M. Full year 2024 total net revenue was $14.6M, with product revenue at $14.2M. Memory IC shipments in Q4 2024 were $3.4M, full year 2024 $12.9M. mmWave is seeing growing momentum with new orders, including a $3.6M purchase order received in Q4 2024. Memory IC contributed significantly in prior quarters, while mmWave is expanding its revenue contribution.
Guidance
• Anticipate total revenue to increase year-over-year in Q1 2025, with total net revenue expected in the range of $3.6M to $4M. • Expect mmWave revenue to grow throughout 2025, with Q1 2025 mmWave revenue expected to exceed full year 2024 mmWave revenue. • The $3.6M purchase order from a strategic customer is expected to be fulfilled during 2025, with revenue expected to be reasonably linear throughout the year, slightly weighted to the second half.
Risks
• Previous inventory correction impacting fixed wireless access customers, though indications of turning tide. • Uncertainties in BEAD program execution and its impact on mmWave adoption. • Timeline risks for military application engagements converting to production. • Market competition and evolving technology trends affecting mmWave market share.
Q&A highlights
Q: Regarding the $3.6 million purchase order received, is the revenue from it fairly linear throughout 2025 and any indication of when in the year it will be recognized?
A: Ron Glibbery stated it's reasonably linear, a little weighted to the second half, with customer wanting linear and aiming for as linear as possible, with second half referring to July, August etc.
Q: How do you think margins will normalize once the bulk of sales are mmWave and memory runoff is complete?
A: James Sullivan mentioned corporate target is 50% gross margin, initially expecting margins in 40% range, with moving pieces on the new order regarding which devices are shipped and inventory write-downs providing some short-term margin benefit.
Q: On the military side, when do you expect some of the pipeline engagements to convert to production?
A: Ron Glibbery classified them more as 2026 events, with military generally moving slow but first application moved quickly, and other opportunities in traditional time scale.
Q: Expectations for BEAD program contributing more in 2025?
A: Ron Glibbery mentioned new administration's desire for tech-neutral BEAD funding and acceleration, hoping to see effects this year as administration aims to get high-speed Internet to masses.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.13 | $-0.17 | +23.5% | $-8.52 |
| Revenue | $3.7M | $3.9M | -5.1% | $1.8M |
Transcript
March 19, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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