EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-10-22
Management highlights
John Stauch mentioned being pleased with the strong performance of the balanced water portfolio, success of transformation initiatives, and solid execution in a dynamic environment. They delivered double-digit adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS growth despite slightly lower sales. Achieved record free cash flow. Made steady progress with transformation initiatives, including sourcing, operational excellence, global footprint optimization, value-based pricing, and 80/20 analysis. Bob Fishman discussed the strong quarter with triple-digit margin expansion and double-digit adjusted income and EPS growth despite lower volume. Mentioned progress on transformation initiatives, including achieving $70 million of Transformation savings year-to-date on the way to an expected $100 million for the full year.
Segment performance
In Q3 2024, sales were $993 million, down 2%. Adjusted operating income increased 13% to $239 million. ROS expanded 310 basis points to 24.1%, driven primarily by Transformation and adjusted EPS increased 16% to $1.09. Core sales were down 1% year-over-year, driven by 8% growth in Pool, which was offset by a 7% decline in Flow and a 3% decline in Water Solutions. Flow sales declined 7% year-over-year; residential sales declined 11%, commercial sales rose 3%, industrial sales were down 10%. Segment income grew 7%, and return on sales expanded 280 basis points to 22.2%. Water Solutions sales declined 3% to $290 million, driven by declines in both commercial and residential. Segment income declined 6% to $64 million and return on sales contracted 80 basis points to 22.2%. Pool sales increased 7% to $331 million. Segment income was $113 million, up 24% and return on sales increased 470 basis points to 34%.
Guidance
Raising full year adjusted EPS guidance to around $4.27, representing an approximate 14% increase year-over-year. For full year, expect sales to be approximately $4.75 billion to $4.85 billion or roughly flat to down 1%, driven by a challenging economy. Expect adjusted operating income to increase approximately 11%. For the fourth quarter, expect sales to be approximately $965 million to $975 million, down approximately 1% to 2%. Expect fourth quarter adjusted operating income to increase approximately 13%. Introducing strong adjusted EPS guidance for the fourth quarter of approximately $1.02, up roughly 17%.
Q&A highlights
Q: Deane Dray asked about value-based pricing and CapEx delays.
A: John Stauch said value-based pricing is in early stages and related to quadrants, and CapEx delays in Flow are due to customers delaying projects.
Q: Andrew Kaplowitz asked about Pool price increase, channel inventory, and pricing vs inflation.
A: John Stauch said inventory is balanced, pricing is holding up well.
Q: Julian Mitchell asked about productivity savings outlook.
A: Robert Fishman said tracking towards $100 million of Transformation savings this year and gave outlook for 2025.
Q: Steve Tusa asked about revenue decline in Flow and Water and Pool pricing.
A: John Stauch said it's all market related and Robert Fishman discussed Pool pricing.
Q: Bryan Blair asked about Transformation pacing and 80/20.
A: Robert Fishman talked about Transformation savings and 80/20's role.
Q: Saree Boroditsky's analyst asked about 80/20 realization and Pool prebuy.
A: John Stauch discussed 80/20's impact and Pool prebuy.
Q: Jeff Hammond asked about 80/20 cost savings and Pool early buy.
A: John Stauch and Robert Fishman answered.
Q: Andrew Krill asked about 4Q margins and transformation savings by segment.
A: Robert Fishman said transformation benefits all segments.
Q: Nathan Jones asked about interest rate cut lag and operational excellence.
A: John Stauch answered.
Q: Mike Halloran asked about commercial Water Solutions variance and cross-selling.
A: Robert Fishman and John Stauch answered.
Q: Joe Giordano asked about PFAS product uptake and industrial CapEx delays.
A: John Stauch answered.
Q: Brett Linzey's analyst asked about 80/20 opportunity by segment.
A: John Stauch said equal across segments.
Q: Scott Graham asked about 4Q sales and Pool prebuy.
A: Robert Fishman answered.
Q: Damian Karas asked about 4Q free cash flow.
A: Robert Fishman said typical seasonality applies.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.09 | $1.07 | +1.9% | — |
| Revenue | $993.4M | $988.5M | +0.5% | — |
Transcript
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