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North American Construction Group Ltd.

North American Construction Group Ltd. Q4 FY2024 earnings call

March 20, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

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Summary

Generated 2025-03-20

Management highlights

Safety focus: Continued improvement in safety metrics with various initiatives. Financial/operational improvements: 2024 saw record revenue, backlog growth, and successful projects like Fargo and MacKellar acquisition. Bid pipeline/backlog: Bid pipeline over $10B, backlog at $3.5B, focusing on infrastructure growth and diversification. 2025 priorities: Enhance safety systems, increase equipment utilization, advance telematics, focus on customer satisfaction, diversify geographically and by commodity, optimize processes, expand maintenance services.

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Segment performance

In the fourth quarter, the Q4 trailing 12-month total recordable rate was 0.39, continuing improvement from Q3 and below the industry-leading target of 0.5. Safety initiatives in Q4 included inspection programs in Australia, heavy equipment operator mentorship, risk assessment tools, green hand training, and a safety leadership survey. 2024 achieved record annual revenue, with MacKellar Group's highest revenue quarter in Q4. The Fargo infrastructure project reached over $150M peak annual revenue and 60% completion. Record backlog of $3.5B with major contract wins. MacKellar acquisition exceeded expectations in growth, diversification, and returns. Australian fleet utilization in Q4 was 82%, on track for 85% in 2025. Canadian fleet utilization improved to 54% in Q4, aiming for 75% by end of 2025.

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Guidance

2025 outlook: Combined revenue $1.4B-$1.6B, adjusted EBITDA $415M-$445M, adjusted EPS $3.70-$4.00, sustaining capital $180M-$200M, free cash flow $130M-$150M, growth capital $65M-$75M, net debt leverage target 1.7. Half-year and quarterly splits weighted towards second half.

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Risks

Tariffs: No material impact seen currently, but potential future effects possible. Weather Impact: Q1 in Australia typically affected by rains, similar to cold weather in Canada.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Yuri Lynk on 2025 outlook in Canada, oil sands market, and gross margin adjustments A: Joe Lambert discussed Canada utilization needs, oil sands market consistency, and gross margin adjustments related to claim resolution.

Q: Aaron MacNeil on GICS review, corporate name, and Fargo normalization A: Jason Veenstra discussed GICS review in progress, name change consideration, and Fargo revenue normalization.

Q: Maxim Sytchev on Australia weather impact, Fargo curvature, and NCIB A: Joe Lambert and Jason Veenstra discussed Australia weather impact, Fargo revenue trends, and NCIB activity.

Q: Adam Thalhimer on Fargo offset, US infrastructure projects, and backlog A: Joe Lambert talked about Fargo offset potential, US infrastructure focus, and backlog trends.

Q: Wil Wutherich on tariffs and Australia Q1 weather A: Joe Lambert addressed tariffs impact and Australia Q1 weather effects.

Q: Sean Jack on Australia bid competition A: Joe Lambert discussed strong demand and disciplined competition in Australia bids.

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

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Transcript

March 20, 2025

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