EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-10-31
Management highlights
- Financial Advisory: Achieved strong year-over-year performance in Europe in Q3 and record revenue in Americas YTD. Restructuring and liability management contributed to revenue growth. M&A activity rebounded with M&A announced volume up over 20% in the first three quarters of 2024. Private equity active with high holding periods, and private markets interactions revenue up over 50% YTD.
- Asset Management: Delivered solid results while strengthening the platform. Hired senior leadership for asset management as global head of ETF. Launched Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Active ETF in Australia. AUM at $248B as of 9/30/2024, with market/appreciation and outflows noted. Core and specialty products like global listed infrastructure, Japanese equities saw strong performance.
- Culture and People: Employee engagement surveys showed substantial improvements, best results since launching surveys, reflecting colleagues' commitment.
- Hiring and Talent: Hired 16 new Managing Directors in financial advisory, investing in talent and technology, including implementing AI tools for research, content creation, etc.
Segment performance
Financial Advisory: Third quarter adjusted net revenue was $369 million, up 41% from the same period last year. For the first nine months of 2024, financial advisory adjusted net revenue was $1.2 billion, up 39% year-over-year. It contributed significantly to firm-wide revenue growth. Asset Management: Third quarter adjusted net revenue was $272 million, up 4% compared to the third quarter last year. Management fees for the third quarter were $269 million, up 3%. As of September 30, 2024, assets under management (AUM) were $248 billion, 8% higher than September 2023.
Guidance
- Anticipate comp ratio at or below 60% in 2025 if market recovery continues and recruiting meets Lazar 2030 plan.
- Expect M&A activity to strengthen, asset management to benefit from rate cuts and risk-oriented active management.
- Returned $51 million to shareholders in Q3, including a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share declared, with $356 million share repurchase authorization remaining.
Risks
- Geopolitical risks impacting business decisions.
- Uncertainty in market environment affecting operating leverage.
- Idiosyncratic client flows impacting asset management fee rates.
Q&A highlights
Q: Drill down on comp ratio commentary and revenue growth needed to get to below 60%.
A: Market development as anticipated and hiring consistent with Lazar 2030 plan are needed. If market develops as expected and hiring stays on baseline, comp ratio can be below 60%; additional talent hires could accelerate but may slightly affect comp ratio.
Q: Expense side flexibility for comp leverage.
A: Substantial operating leverage from expanded activity levels, especially raising managing director productivity levels. Non-MD expenses don't vary much with MD productivity, so higher productivity drives comp ratio down.
Q: Emerging market equities interest driver.
A: Clients have been under-allocated, rate cuts, and more appealing valuation levels for global and emerging market equities support demand.
Q: M&A environment divergence between US and Europe.
A: US macro more auspicious than Europe due to structural challenges, but sectoral trends matter; Lazard's deep local roots in both markets are beneficial.
Q: Advisory recovery and normalization.
A: More upside potential due to deep roots in US and Europe, sector focus in Lazar 2030 plan, and private capital infrastructure expanding.
Q: C Corp conversion impact.
A: Positive reaction, opening to new investors, with oversubscribed IR conferences and new investors like Capital Group showing interest. Index inclusion could be additional upside.
Q: Asset management fee rate impact from large outflow.
A: The large outflow was idiosyncratic; the client's strategy and size caused lower fee rate, but it's not reflective of steady state. Business mix is key driver.
Q: Comp ratio and deferred comp in 4Q.
A: Best estimate ratio at current point, unlikely to pick up significantly; intent to manage deferrals to help reach comp ratio target.
Q: Asset management organic growth trends.
A: Slower growth inflows due to rate environment, lumpy and choppy until year end as allocations adjust; gross inflows expected to rebound next year as yields fall.
Q: Non-comp growth trajectory.
A: Third quarter is typically light, fourth quarter heavy seasonally. Disciplined cost cuts offset growth-related increases, full-year non-comp likely tick up slightly.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.38 | $0.41 | -7.3% | $0.10 |
| Revenue | $792.4M | $648.0M | +22.3% | $531.6M |
Transcript
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