Skip to content
KMX

CARMAX INC

CARMAX INC Q3 FY2025 earnings call

December 19, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-11

EPS · actual vs est

$0.81 / $0.59Beat +37.3%

Revenue · actual vs est

$6.22B / $6.05BBeat +2.9%
Ask about this call

Summary

Generated 2024-12-19

Management highlights

  • The diversified business showed continuous positive trends in the third quarter with retail, wholesale, and CAF all achieving year - over - year growth. - Solid execution was carried out in a more stable vehicle valuation environment, leading to an increase in unit volume, maintaining strong margins, stabilizing the loan loss provision, and realizing cost efficiencies. - The best - in - class omni - channel experience served as a key differentiator. For the third quarter, approximately 15% of retail unit sales were online, and 56% were omni sales. - In retail, more vehicles were bought from both consumers and dealers, with over half of consumer purchases made through the online instant appraisal experience. - In wholesale, a record number of vehicle buys from dealers were achieved. - CAF continued to advance its full credit spectrum underwriting model. - SG&A was leveraged by 640 basis points due to the growth in gross profit and expense efficiency measures. - The nationwide rollout of customer shopping accounts was completed, the AI - powered virtual assistant Sky was utilized, the online appraisal experience was enhanced, a new Tier 3 origination model was tested, and the test of a new transportation management process leveraging data science and AI was expanded.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In the third quarter of FY'25, CarMax's diversified business model achieved total sales of $6.2 billion, a 1% increase compared to the previous year. In the retail business, total unit sales grew by 5.4%, used unit comps rose by 4.3%, the average selling price decreased by approximately $1,100 per unit or 4%, and the third - quarter retail gross profit per used unit was $2,306, matching last year's level. For the wholesale business, unit sales went up by 6.3% compared to the third quarter of the previous year, the average selling price dropped by approximately $500 per unit or 6%, and the third - quarter wholesale gross profit per unit was $1,015, an increase from $961 in the same period last year. CarMax Auto Finance (CAF) generated an income of $160 million, which was an 8% year - over - year growth.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • It is expected that the fourth - quarter sales performance will be stronger than that of the third quarter. - There will be a continued focus on SG&A leverage, and it is anticipated that the service margin will continue to improve year - over - year. - The advertising spend in the fourth quarter on a total unit basis is expected to be higher than the year - to - date rate and last year's fourth - quarter level, with the full - year spend expected to be approximately $200 per total unit. - Benefits from cost - efficiency measures such as the new transportation management process are expected to be seen in the cost of goods sold over time.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Market price fluctuations may have an impact on sales and margins. - There is credit risk related to loan losses, although the provision was adjusted based on the observed performance. - Changes in consumer behavior, for example, delinquent customers may revert to delinquency after payment extensions, which could affect the financial results.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Regarding the normalized unit comp, what is the outlook for the fourth quarter?

A: Bill Nash stated that they believe the fourth - quarter comp performance will be stronger than that of the third quarter, despite some headwinds like losing a Saturday and leap day.

Q: When considering the improvement seen in the last six to seven months, what is driving it more, conversion or traffic?

A: Bill Nash said it is a combination of internal and external factors, including the decrease in prices, and internal execution improvements such as better experiences and efficiencies.

Q: For the GPU performance in retail and wholesale, provide an update on the cost - reduction initiatives?

A: Bill Nash said that the $200 per unit is driven by reconditioning and logistics, about half of which has been achieved so far, and the bulk of the savings is passed on to consumers.

Q: For the allowance for loan losses, provide details on what led to the cut?

A: Enrique Mayor - Mora said that the provision is a combination of the expected loss on new originations and the true - up on existing receivables, and the provision in this quarter is more normalized.

Q: Regarding market share, has it stabilized and are you gaining share?

A: Bill Nash said that they are very confident in the sales momentum and their ability to gain market share, and they will update it at the end of the year.

Q: For the payment extension, how does it work and how is it reflected in the P&L?

A: Enrique Mayor - Mora said that it is to help consumers navigate temporary difficulties. Historically, it has been less than 1% of the portfolio, some testing has been carried out, and it is reserved accordingly in the provision and reserve.

Q: Regarding the growth of the wholesale business, where can it go?

A: Bill Nash said that the focus is on buying more cars, using the Max offer to attract more dealers, and providing dealers with another tool.

Q: Regarding the tone and appetite of lending partners, is there any change?

A: Bill Nash said that lending partners are steady, supportive, but being cautious.

Q: Regarding stores and labor compensation, what is the opportunity for stores and the leverage of comp and benefits?

A: Bill Nash said that there is an opportunity to go beyond 300 stores, and Enrique Mayor - Mora said that it is expected to leverage comp and benefits more strongly as the omni - channel model is more efficient.

Q: Regarding the consumer shift from new to used vehicles, is there any data on that?

A: Bill Nash said that the overall used vehicle industry has declined, especially in the 0 - 4% range, and consumers are under financial pressure.

Q: Regarding comps and CAF, provide color on the consumer mindset and the CAF reserve?

A: Bill Nash said that the comps are driven by internal improvements and macro factors, and Jon Daniels said that the reserve adjustment was adequate based on the observed performance.

Q: Regarding inventory and EPP growth, what is the cause of the inventory drain and the growth of EPP?

A: Bill Nash said that the inventory drain is a normal seasonal phenomenon for tax season, and Jon Daniels said that the growth of EPP was due to the price increase starting from the fourth quarter of last year

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.81$0.59+37.3%$0.52
Revenue$6.22B$6.05B+2.9%$6.15B

Transcript

December 19, 2024

Full transcript unavailable for redistribution

The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.

Continue exploring

Prior quarters

This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.