EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-11-13
Management highlights
• Delivered revenue and adjusted EBITDA above high end of prior guidance. • Redeemers on IPN grew 63% YOY to 15.3M, redemptions nearly 100M in Q3. • Successfully rolled out Schnucks with ESL integration and deployed Instacart in test phase. • CPG redemption gross billings up 65% YTD. • Initiatives for 2025 include improving measurement framework, targeting efficiency, and campaign manager tool for easier client business.
Segment performance
In the third quarter, redemption revenue comprised 86% of total revenue, with third-party publisher redemption revenue at 52% ($51.3M, up 129% YOY) and D2C redemption revenue at 34% ($33.1M, down 20% YOY non-GAAP, excluding one-time breakage). Ad products and other were 14% ($14.1M). Total redeemers were 15.3 million, up 63% YOY. Redemption revenue was $84.5M, up 32% YOY non-GAAP.
Guidance
• Q4 revenue expected $100-106M (4% non-GAAP growth, mid-teens redemption revenue growth). • Q4 adjusted EBITDA expected $30-34M (31% margin midpoint). • Near-term supply constraints from 2024 budget depletion, Instacart still in pilot stage, leading to softer Q4 redemption revenue. • Revenue growth expected to trough in Q4 then reaccelerate in 2025.
Risks
• Temporary downward pressure on redemption revenue in Q4 due to exhaustion of 2024 promotional budgets. • Execution risks with new publisher integrations and scaling Instacart. • Macro environment impacts on CPG marketing budgets and client allocation of funds.
Q&A highlights
Q: Commentary around exhaustion of budgets and blockers for brands to allocate incremental spend?
A: Bryan discussed temporary imbalance, need for real-time ROI measurement tool, and client retention leading to confidence in future budget allocation.
Q: Time to market for new publisher integrations and implications for product org?
A: Bryan said better technical documentation and efficiency in technical team led to faster time to market, applying to product org for faster cost per incremental product.
Q: Confidence in growing redeemers with budgets and Instacart rollout?
A: Bryan cited client retention, e-commerce budget allocation, and interest in Instacart investment as reasons for confidence.
Q: Widespread budget exhaustion and quantification of Q4 headwind?
A: Bryan said not uniformly widespread, some clients re-up budgets, pull forward in Q3, and DR mentality as key unlock.
Q: D2C vs third-party redeemers and Q4 EBITDA guidance?
A: Sunit noted D2C revenues stabilizing, Q4 EBITDA guidance impacted by holiday marketing, R&D, and Instacart costs.
Q: Acceleration in revenue growth post-Q4?
A: Sunit explained acceleration due to receding negative comps on ad and D2C, and growth in third-party publisher business.
Q: Instacart results, costs, and mix of redemptions?
A: Bryan talked about early Instacart indicators and redemption rates, Sunit discussed Instacart cost step-up in revenue, and Bryan noted mix shift to general merchandise.
Q: Confidence in supply side to fulfill demand and D2C vs third-party prioritization?
A: Bryan cited history of supply catching up, focus on overall redemption revenue, and D2C as efficient campaign source.
Q: Consistency of large clients re-upping budgets?
A: Bryan discussed historical budget growth, meeting senior executives post-IPO, and expectation of continued budget step-ups
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — |
Transcript
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