GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Q2 FY2023 earnings call
September 19, 2023 · fiscal period ended 2023-06
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2023-09-19
Management highlights
- Hotel Strategy: Continued expansion in the mid to upscale segment, with mid to upscale hotels accounting for 10.7% of the total portfolio by the end of the first half of 2023. Focus on Tier 3 and lower cities in South China, with 73.3% of current hotel pipelines in such cities. Opened 3 L&O hotels in strategic locations like transportation hubs. - Restaurant Strategy: Focus on increasing profitability by closing unprofitable stores, increasing the proportion of franchised-and-managed restaurants, and growing street stores. Closed 64 unprofitable restaurants in H1 2023.
Segment performance
Hotels: In the first half of 2023, total hotel revenues increased to RMB 563.2 million, up 23.1% year-over-year. The increase was primarily due to RevPAR recovery and an increase in the number of hotels. FM hotels total revenues were RMB 347.4 million, up 26.1% year-over-year, while LO hotels total revenues were RMB 213.6 million, up 24.7% year-over-year. Restaurants: In the first half of 2023, total restaurant revenues were RMB 127.2 million. Income from restaurant operations was negative RMB 9 million in the first half of 2023. Total restaurant operating costs and expenses decreased 9.9% year-over-year to RMB 242 million.
Guidance
- Total revenues of organic hotels for the full year 2023 are expected to grow 30%-35% compared to 2022 levels. - Total revenues of the restaurant business and organic hotel business for the full year 2023 are expected to grow 15%-20% compared to 2022 levels. - RevPAR in Q4 2023 is forecasted to be stable at around 10% increase compared to 2019 levels, with Tier 3 and 4 cities showing stable performance.
Risks
- Increasing competition in lower tier cities which may impact performance. - Rapid changes in consumer trends, especially affecting restaurant foot traffic, leading to store closures.
Q&A highlights
Q: Introduce the recovery of catering.
A: The restaurant sales recovery compared to 2022 was 100.7%, and compared to 2019 was 18%.
Q: Give color and guidance on RevPAR Q4 2023 and 2024.
A: RevPAR in Q4 2023 is expected to be stable, with Tier 3 and 4 cities showing stable performance. Long-term trends for restaurants are positive due to industry recovery.
Q: EBITDA margin of hotel business and restaurant closure targets.
A: Hotel EBITDA margin impacted by mix and deconsolidation, but excluding new leased operated hotels, margin was ~48.7%. For restaurants, closure adjustment nearly done, target 20-30 new restaurants this year.
Q: Competition in lower tier cities and franchisee attitude.
A: Competition increasing in lower tier cities but GreenTree has strength in managing them. Franchisees are adapting but taking time to adjust to new environments.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
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Transcript
September 19, 2023Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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