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GEVO

Gevo, Inc.

Gevo, Inc. Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 7, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$-0.09 / $-0.10Beat +10.0%

Revenue · actual vs est

$2.0M / $3.8MMiss -47.9%
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Summary

Generated 2024-11-07

Management highlights

  • Acquired Red Trail Energy's low-carbon ethanol and carbon capture sequestration assets in North Dakota, expected to close by Q1 next year, with ~$200 million in 2023 revenue.
  • Received a $1.63 billion conditional commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy for the Net-Zero 1 SAF project in South Dakota, a major milestone.
  • Acquired Cultivate Agricultural Intelligence, LLC with expected 2024 revenue of $1.7 million, combining with Verity's solutions for carbon abatement.
  • Granted two patents for the Breakthrough Ethanol-To-Olefin Process.
  • Development spend for Net-Zero 1 is tracking under estimated range, expecting reimbursement at financial close.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

The RNG business generated $2 million in revenue during the third quarter of 2024. This revenue included $1.8 million in net proceeds from environmental attributes and $0.2 million in RNG sales.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Expect to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025.
  • Red Trail asset acquisition expected to close early 2025, combining third-party project debt with Gevo equity capital.
  • Anticipate higher value from RNG inventory once California pathway approval is received.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Uncertainties around the release of DOE loan funds and specific disbursement details.
  • Potential challenges with the Summit Carbon pipeline referendum in South Dakota affecting CCS efforts.
  • General risks associated with forward-looking statements and uncertainties in project development, financing, and construction.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Details on remaining steps for DOE loan release and cadence?

A: The conditional commitment survives administration changes, need to go through due process; project is solid with job creation and economic impact.

Q: Equity portion of project financing?

A: Interest in equity due to thorough DOE diligence, benefits equity holders.

Q: RNG inventory valuation and future revenue?

A: Holding inventory for California pathway approval to get higher value, booked at minus 150.

Q: CCS pipeline issues in South Dakota and Red Trail as CCS option for NZ1?

A: Referendum was misrepresented, pipeline authority with PUC; Red Trail could be a CCS option with logistics to work out.

Q: Building without pipeline if needed?

A: Can rail stuff up, but need to work through business and political issues in South Dakota

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-0.09$-0.10+10.0%$-0.07
Revenue$2.0M$3.8M-47.9%$4.5M

Transcript

November 7, 2024

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