Skip to content
GERN

GERON CORP

GERON CORP Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 7, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$-0.04 / $-0.09Beat +55.6%

Revenue · actual vs est

$28.3M / $62.2MMiss -54.5%
Ask about this call

Summary

Generated 2024-11-07

Management highlights

• Commercial Launch: RYTELO had a successful U.S. launch with $28.2 million in net product revenue in Q3, exceeding expectations. Demand increased month-over-month. • Financial Transactions: Completed a $250 million synthetic royalty transaction with Royalty Pharma and a $250 million senior secured debt facility with Pharmakon Advisors, with $250 million in gross proceeds received. The royalty to Royalty Pharma is capped and has specific terms based on sales. The debt facility allows borrowing up to $250 million with $125 million drawn initially. • Clinical Trials: The pivotal imetelstat Phase 3 IMpactMF trial for relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis was ~70% enrolled as of Aug 2024, with interim analysis expected in early 2026 and final in early 2027. ASH abstracts highlighted new data on imetelstat in various myeloid hematologic malignancies. • EU Commercialization: CHMP review of RYTELO's marketing authorization application in lower-risk MDS could be completed in late 2024/early 2025 with potential EU approval in H1 2025, planning to commercialize in select EU markets in 2026.

View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In the third quarter, Geron achieved $28.2 million in RYTELO net product revenue from its first full quarter on the market in the U.S. This revenue comes solely from the commercial launch of RYTELO, the first-in-class telomerase inhibitor.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

• Growth: Expect steady and consistent growth across patient segments, including second line, first line ESA ineligible, and relapsed/refractory third line plus patients. • EU Timeline: Planning to commercialize RYTELO in select EU markets beginning in 2026 subject to regulatory approval. • Financial Flexibility: The financing transactions provide critical flexibility to fuel growth and investment, with scenarios where they can lead to profitability without additional equity financing.

View in transcript ↓

Risks

• Actual results could differ materially from forward-looking statements due to factors identified in Geron's most recent periodic report filed with the SEC, including those related to clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, and market adoption.

View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Given what was seen this quarter, could you give a better idea of how growth cadence could look over the next few quarters or year, and how growth assumptions and market for RYTELO factored into the royalty deal?

A: Jim Ziegler said they expect steady consistent growth across patient segments. Michelle Robertson said the royalty deal terms were based on current internal forecast.

Q: Clarify royalty percentage rates and cash runway expectations?

A: Michelle Robertson said the royalty rate is competitive, and there are scenarios where the transactions can take them to breakeven without additional equity financing, maintaining over 12-months of cash.

Q: Clarify what steady growth means in terms of patient growth and which patients are coming on therapy?

A: Jim Ziegler said growth across all patient segments, including first line ESA ineligible, second line, and third line, with steady consistent growth expected.

Q: Impact of inventory and breadth/depth of prescribing?

A: Jim Ziegler said inventory is between 2-4 weeks, and they're early in launch with breadth seen and expecting depth over time.

Q: Elaborate on royalty and debt structure choice over equity raise?

A: Michelle Robertson said it was a result of competitive process, reducing dependency on equity markets and paying off unfavorable existing debt.

Q: Early real world experience on transfusion reductions, safety, and luspatercept impact?

A: Jim Ziegler said real world performance is consistent with trials, and luspatercept in first line doesn't affect RYTELO's position in second line.

Q: Utilization split between academics and community, dose management, and gross-to-net?

A: Jim Ziegler said 65/35 split between community and academic, cytopenia management is well understood. Michelle Robertson said gross-to-net was ~14% in Q3 and expects mid-double digits, with COGS to be mid-single digits long term.

Q: Plan with additional capital and profitability including myelofibrosis?

A: Michelle Robertson said capital allows investment in redundancy and EU launch preparation, and profitability assumptions include myelofibrosis in internal projections

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-0.04$-0.09+55.6%$-0.08
Revenue$28.3M$62.2M-54.5%$164,000

Transcript

November 7, 2024

Full transcript unavailable for redistribution

The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.

Continue exploring

Prior quarters

This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.