GCM Grosvenor Inc.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. Q3 FY2024 earnings call
November 8, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-11-08
Management highlights
- GCM Grosvenor reported strong Q3 results with fee-related earnings up 18% and adjusted net income up 24% year-to-date. - Raised $1.4 billion of new capital in Q3, with year-to-date fundraising at $4.8 billion, a 34% increase YOY. - Private markets continue to be a key driver, with private market fee-paying AUM growing 7% YOY. - Focus on individual investor channel, having raised over $3 billion from individual investors since 2020, and announcing new partnerships for interval fund private market products. - Absolute return strategies performance has been strong, with the multi-strategy composite generating a 12.5% gross rate of return over the last 12 months.
Segment performance
Private markets were a key driver in the quarter, with private market fee-paying AUM growing 7% year-over-year. Private markets now represent 71% of total AUM and 66% of fee-paying AUM. Private markets management fees grew 6% for the quarter and 8% year-to-date. Absolute return strategies management fees stabilized; Q3 ARS management fees increased 2% year-over-year, and full-year 2024 ARS management fees are expected to be stable relative to last year. Private markets management fee growth for full-year 2024 is expected to be 9% to 11% over the prior year, depending on fourth-quarter specialized fund closings.
Guidance
- Expect fundraising in the second half of 2024 to exceed the $3.4 billion raised in the first half. - Confident in doubling 2023 fee-related earnings by 2028, with this year's growth on pace to achieve that goal. - Private markets management fee growth for full-year 2024 is expected to be 9% to 11% over the prior year. - Absolute return strategies management fees are expected to be stable in 2024 relative to last year.
Q&A highlights
Q: Crispin Love asked about confidence in fundraising in the second half and specific drivers.
A: Michael Sacks stated confidence due to a strong near-term pipeline across all strategies, with fundraising expected to be a solid quarter and the pipeline significantly larger than a year ago.
Q: Bill Katz inquired about revenue growth for FRE and margin expansion.
A: Michael Sacks mentioned confidence in driving private market management fee growth 10% or better, with incentive fees having significant upside from existing assets and capital raised.
Q: Ken Worthington asked about wealth management partnerships and private credit outlook.
A: Jonathan Levin discussed partnerships as not mutually exclusive with internal distribution, and Michael Sacks and Jonathan Levin commented on private credit being a growing space with secular trends continuing regardless of short-term cyclical factors.
Q: Stephanie Ma asked about private credit industry outlook post-election.
A: Michael Sacks and Jonathan Levin noted private credit is a growing space with secular trends driven by capital demand, and transaction activity picking up post-election could benefit private credit.
Q: Bill Katz asked about realizations and payout ratio for carried interest.
A: Michael Sacks stated payout ratio depends on revenue growth, with historic ratios comfortable for planning and modeling, and margin opportunity expected as revenues grow.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.16 | $0.15 | +6.7% | — |
| Revenue | $122.9M | $123.8M | -0.7% | — |
Transcript
November 8, 2024Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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