Freshpet, Inc.
Freshpet, Inc. Q4 FY2024 earnings call
February 20, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-02-20
Management highlights
• 2024 was a strong year with net sales growth driven by volume gains, household penetration and buy rate growth. Added ~2 million households, 800,000 of which were super heavy and heavy users. Added 1,300 new stores and nearly 900 second and third fridges. • Maintained over 99% fill rates while selling 27% more volume. Beat longer-term targets for input, quality and logistics costs, and adjusted gross margin. Added 650 basis points of adjusted gross margin in 2024 and over 1,000 basis points over two years. • In 2024, achieved positive net income for the first time, generating $0.94 per share of EPS and $154 million in operating cash flow. • Retail perspective: Added over 1,300 new stores, total stores 28,141. Total fridges 36,544. Household penetration 13.5 million households, ahead of pace to meet 20 million by 2027. • Capacity expansion: Successfully started up fifth and sixth roll lines, next bag line expected in Q1 2025. Focus on maximizing existing line throughput and developing new technologies.
Segment performance
Fourth quarter net sales were $262.7 million, up 22% year-over-year. Full year 2024 net sales were $975 million, up 27% year-over-year. Fourth quarter adjusted gross margin was 48.1% compared to 41.1% in the prior year period. Fiscal year 2024 adjusted gross margin was 46.5%, an increase of 650 basis points. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $52.6 million, up from $31.3 million in the prior year. Full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $161.8 million, up from $66.6 million in the prior year. Household penetration at year-end was 13.5 million households, up 17% year-over-year. Buy rate was up 6% year-over-year to $104.89.
Guidance
• 2025 net sales expected to be approximately $1.18 billion to $1.21 billion, up 21%-24% year-over-year. • Adjusted EBITDA expected to be at least $210 million in 2025. • Raised 2027 margin targets: adjusted gross margin to 48% vs previous 45%, adjusted EBITDA margin to 22% vs previous 18%. • Anticipate modest adjusted gross margin expansion in 2025, with first quarter 2025 negatively impacted by ~150 basis points due to inventory return to normal levels. • Expect to be free cash flow positive by 2026.
Risks
• Change in pet specialty channel distribution partner may have nonrecurring effects. • Macro-economic pressures could impact sales and margins. • Competitive pressures in the pet food category. • Supply chain issues may affect capacity and fill rates.
Q&A highlights
Q: None A: None (no Q&A session after the call this quarter)
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.36 | $0.44 | -18.2% | $0.31 |
| Revenue | $262.7M | $275.5M | -4.6% | $215.4M |
Transcript
February 20, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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