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FORD MOTOR CO

FORD MOTOR CO Q4 FY2024 earnings call

February 5, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

EPS · actual vs est

$0.39 / $0.35Beat +11.4%

Revenue · actual vs est

$48.21B / $47.40BBeat +1.7%
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Summary

Generated 2025-02-05

Management highlights

Jim Farley welcomed Sherry House as new CFO and thanked John Lawler. Global revenue reached an all-time record of $185 billion, with F-Series as America's best-selling pickup. Pro software subscriptions rose 27%, BlueCruise equipped units over 700,000. Achieved $500 million net cost reductions in 2024's second half. Sherry House highlighted 2024 results: global wholesales up 1%, revenue $185 billion, 11 consecutive quarters of top-line growth; declared first quarter dividend; discussed segment performance and 2025 outlook.

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Segment performance

Ford Pro's revenue lifted by 15% to $67 billion with wholesales up 9%, full year EBIT $9 billion and 13.5% margin; Software and physical services made up 13% of Pro's EBIT. Model e delivered $1.4 billion in cost reductions last year, but year-over-year revenue and wholesales declined 35% and 9% respectively. Ford Blue's full year revenue was flat due to positive net pricing offsetting a 2% decline in wholesales, with EBIT $5.3 billion and 5.2% margin. Ford Credit had earnings before taxes of $1.7 billion for the year.

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Guidance

Expect company's adjusted EBIT of $7 billion to $8.5 billion range for 2025. Adjusted free cash flow $3.5 billion to $4.5 billion, capital expenditures $8 billion to $9 billion. Guidance not factoring in policy changes. Anticipates headwinds from market factors like lower industry pricing, partially offset by $1 billion net cost reductions. First quarter adjusted EBIT roughly breakeven, second half expected to be more normalized.

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Risks

Potential impacts of tariffs, including protracted tariffs from Canada/Mexico which could wipe out billions in industry profits, increase prices for customers. Changes in trade, tax, and emissions policies could also be consequential. Chinese OEMs expanding globally and increasing exports pose competition.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Dan Levy on calendarization of earnings and recovery in subsequent quarters A: Sherry House and Jim Farley discussed wholesales decline, inventory levels, and recovery plans Q: Daniel Roeska on Model e guide and offsetting gains A: Sherry House explained Model e's flat guide due to additional costs and pricing pressure Q: Adam Jonas on US tariff policies and autonomy A: Jim Farley discussed tariff impacts and Ford's autonomy strategy Q: Emmanuel Rosner on cost savings and visibility A: Sherry House and Jim Farley detailed cost savings drivers and visibility Q: Mark Delaney on tariffs and Pro business A: Jim Farley and Sherry House discussed tariff impacts and Pro business dynamics Q: Joseph Spak on multi-energy strategy and marketing A: Jim Farley talked about EREVs and their value proposition

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.39$0.35+11.4%$0.29
Revenue$48.21B$47.40B+1.7%$45.96B

Transcript

February 5, 2025

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