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CWEN

Clearway Energy, Inc.

Clearway Energy, Inc. Q3 FY2024 earnings call

October 30, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$0.31 / $0.48Miss -35.4%

Revenue · actual vs est

$486.0M / $299.0MBeat +62.5%
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Summary

Generated 2024-10-30

Management highlights

  • Completed a solid quarter of execution and is on track to meet or exceed 2024 financial objectives. - Achieved best-ever safety key performance indicators in the first three quarters of the year and improved plant availability and conversion efficiency. - Announced a fourth quarter dividend in line with 7% EPS growth in 2024. - Advanced fleet growth by concluding an investment commitment for the Pine Forest Solar and Storage project and receiving an offer for Phase 1 of the Honeycomb Storage project. - Established 2025 financial guidance with CAFD midpoint $420 million and dividend target $1.76 per share. - Updated capital allocation framework and set goals for 2027, including targeting CAFD per share of $2.40 to $2.60 by 2027.
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Segment performance

Clearway Energy, Inc. reported a solid third quarter with year-to-date CAFD of $385 million. For 2025, the CAFD guidance is set with a midpoint of $420 million. The 2027 target for CAFD per share is in the range of $2.40 to $2.60, representing a growth trajectory extension. The company's diversified fleet has shown strong performance, with improvements in safety key performance indicators, plant availability, and conversion efficiency.

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Guidance

  • For 2025, CAFD guidance midpoint is $420 million and dividend target is $1.76 per share. - Reaffirmed 2026 dividend per share growth target at 6.5%. - Set 2027 CAFD per share target in the range of $2.40 to $2.60, which represents a solid growth trajectory extension from the midpoint of 2025 guidance. - Intends to target dividend per share growth in 2026 at 6.5% and will issue 2026 guidance next year.
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Risks

  • Risks related to transactions, including uncertainties in evaluating offers for investments. - Market risks affecting pricing and resource availability. - Financing risks such as refinancing debt and raising capital, including potential impacts on future CAFD per share targets from refinancing activities.
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Q&A highlights

Q: Noah Kaye asked about the process of setting the capital allocation framework.

A: Craig Cornelius stated they started by assessing fleet performance and growth investment prospects, then engaged with investors to incorporate their expectations of growing within means without substantial equity issuance.

Q: Julien Dumoulin-Smith inquired about RA uplift and portfolio improvement.

A: Craig Cornelius explained RA uplift is based on current marketplace pricing, and fleet improvements include modernizing plant operations and restructuring service agreements.

Q: Steve Fleishman asked about M&A opportunity.

A: Craig Cornelius said they are selectively engaging on individual assets complementary to the fleet.

Q: Justin Clare asked about dividend per share growth beyond 2027.

A: Craig Cornelius said they intend to set dividend per share levels based on payout ratio and retained CAFD, with modest equity issuances when necessary.

Q: Angie Storozynski asked about firm renewable power contracts.

A: Craig Cornelius said they focus on risk-adjusted returns and disciplined settlement structures.

Q: Mark Jarvi asked about capital deployment and debt capacity.

A: Craig Cornelius said they can execute to midpoint of CAFD per share range without equity issuance, and beyond that may use modest equity issuance and manage debt capacity prudently.

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.31$0.48-35.4%$0.03
Revenue$486.0M$299.0M+62.5%$371.0M

Transcript

October 30, 2024

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