EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-01-31
Management highlights
- Mike Wirth highlighted record production globally and in the US, Permian growth (+18% from 2023), project start-ups in the Gulf of America, PDC Energy integration, portfolio optimization, $27B cash return to shareholders, and new energies progress including bio-diesel sales and CCUS/hydrogen projects.
- Eimear Bonner discussed financials: Q4 adjusted earnings $3.6B, full-year organic CapEx aligned with $16B budget, maintained 10.5% adjusted ROCE, $27B cash returned to shareholders, 5% dividend increase, and capital discipline with buyback range $10-$20B.
Segment performance
Chevron reported Q4 earnings of $3.2 billion, or $1.84 per share. Adjusted earnings were $3.6 billion, or $2.06 per share. Included special items of $1.1 billion. Full-year organic CapEx was $16 billion. Adjusted upstream earnings were impacted by asset retirement obligations and inventory valuation; adjusted downstream earnings were lower due to softer refining and chemicals margins. Chevron's cash generation continued, with production growing 7% in 2024, $8 billion from asset sales, and a 5% dividend increase.
Guidance
- Expect free cash flow of $5B in 2025 and $6B in 2026 at $70 Brent. Production expected to reach 1M barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2025. Target $2B-$3B structural cost reductions by 2026. Organic CapEx within $14-16B range.
Q&A highlights
Q: Could you walk through one-offs impacting cash flow this quarter?
A: Eimear Bonner said tax charges from Canadian asset sale ($1.5B), special items ($500M), and other impacts ($500M) contributed to cash flow impact.
Q: Talk about longer-term opportunities beyond 2026?
A: Mike Wirth mentioned Eastern Med expansions, Argentina potential, West Africa opportunities, Venezuelan Partition Zone, and exploration portfolio.
Q: Thoughts on power business and GE Vernova deal?
A: Mike Wirth said power business leverages Chevron's strengths in gas, power operation, and tech, with 7 GE turbines reserved for 2026/27 delivery to support AI data centers.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $2.06 | $2.43 | -15.2% | $3.45 |
| Revenue | $52.23B | $46.61B | +12.0% | $48.93B |
Transcript
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