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CEPU

Central Puerto SA

Central Puerto SA Q1 FY2025 earnings call

May 12, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-03

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Summary

Generated 2025-05-12

Management highlights

  • Recent regulatory updates: Spot prices adjusted monthly in 2024, cumulative increase of 3.5% for April and May 2025; Brigadier López project on schedule with milestones achieved, expected COD end of 2025; San Carlos project back on track, expected COD end of third quarter 2025; increased equity stake in AbraSilver to 9.9%. - Argentine electricity industry: Installed capacity decreased by 319 megawatts, electricity generation shrank 1%, demand rose 1%, electricity trade balance in net import situation. - Corporate news: Merger of Vientos La Genoveva II, Manque Los Olivos and CPR Energy Solutions; Board of Directors approved organization subject to approval by shareholders meeting and SEC; Board of Directors of Empresas Verdes Argentina, etc. approved corporate organization subject to approval.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

The Group's installed capacity remains at 6,703 megawatts. Energy generation in the first quarter of 2025 amounted to 5.7 terawatt hour, increasing 4% year-over-year. Revenues for the first quarter of 2025 amounted to $196 million, increasing 31% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA rose 8% year-over-year to $90 million. Net income for the first three months of 2025 was $80 million, rising 150% year-over-year. Net debt as of March 31, 2025, amounted to $132 million, with a net debt ratio to adjusted EBITDA of about 0.5 times. Revenues breakdown: $36 million increase in spot market revenues due to cash effect on currency devaluation and spot remuneration increases, higher thermal generation and non-cash effect; $5 million increase in sales under contract due to higher energy sales of San Lorenzo cogeneration plant and higher wind generation of Achiras La Castellana I and II, and non-cash effect.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Brigadier López expected to have COD end of 2025, San Carlos expected to have COD end of third quarter 2025. - Anticipation of participation in hydro tender and storage auction, with careful analysis of terms and conditions. - Expectation of moving forward in stages for market deregulation, with some progress in liquid fuels and signals for battery auction and contracts between generators and distribution companies.
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Risks

  • Regulatory uncertainty regarding pricing and terms of hydro auction. - Uncertainty in project progress and execution, such as potential issues with market deregulation implementation. - Impact of currency devaluation, inflation, and exchange rate conversion on financial metrics and comparability.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Regarding the possible hydro auction, any news on pricing conditions or competition?

A: Pricing conditions not confirmed yet, with process delayed; thinking of a transition scheme with fixed price and private contract scheme increasing percentage every two years. For competition, local big generators likely to be interested, with international companies possibly requiring additional guarantees.

Q: Why was there lower availability in Brigadier López in the first quarter?

A: It was due to a big maintenance of the gas turbine for combined cycle, with the maintenance done and expecting full dispatch and speed at the end of the year.

Q: View on market liberalization schedule and implementation issues?

A: Thinking of moving forward in stages, with progress in liquid fuels but difficulty in natural gas liberalization until Plan Gas ends; seeing some signals for battery auction and contracts but not a complete turnover in free market at once.

Q: Targeting other projects beyond mentioned ones this year?

A: The mentioned projects are the most important, with starting of construction of a wind farm in Bahía Blanca city possibly at the end of the year or beginning of next year, but nothing certain yet.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

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MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
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Revenue

Transcript

May 12, 2025

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