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BAC

BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/

BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Q4 FY2024 earnings call

January 16, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

EPS · actual vs est

$0.82 / $0.78Beat +5.5%

Revenue · actual vs est

$25.35B / $24.93BBeat +1.7%
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Summary

Generated 2025-01-16

Management highlights

• Brian expressed concern for communities impacted by California wildfires and mentioned relief efforts like activating Client Assistance Program and donating $1 million to disaster relief. • Bank of America reported $6.7 billion in net income for Q4, $0.82 in EPS. Revenue grew 15% year-over-year in Q4 2024. • Saw good loan and deposit growth; loans grew $20 billion in Q4, deposits grew $35 billion. • Wealth Management added 24,000 new households in 2024, with $6 trillion in total client balances managed. • Sales and trading had 11th straight quarter of year-over-year revenue growth, achieving a new full-year record of nearly $19 billion in revenue. • Managed to create operating leverage in Q4 despite increased spending in brand, people, and technology. • Credit quality stabilized with net charge-offs declining modestly from the third quarter.

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Segment performance

Consumer Banking: Made nearly $11 billion or 40% of the company's earnings in 2024. In Q4, generated $10.6 billion in revenue and $2.8 billion in net income. Had strong organic growth, including over 200,000 net new checking accounts. Deposits in Consumer Banking bottomed in mid-August 2024 and ended the year at $952 billion. Wealth Management: Had a very profitable year, generating $4.2 billion in earnings from nearly $23 billion in revenue. Added 24,000 net new relationships in 2024. Revenue grew 15% in Q4 2024, led by 23% growth in asset management fees. Global Banking: Generated $8.1 billion or 30% of the company's earnings in 2024. Investment banking fees grew 44% in Q4 2024. Loans in Global Banking were up 2%, and deposits grew 10% year-over-year. Global Markets: Achieved record sales and trading results of nearly $19 billion in 2024, growing 7% from 2023. In Q4 2024, earnings grew 30% year-over-year, with revenue ex DVA improving 15% from Q4 2023.

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Guidance

• NII expected to grow 6% to 7% in 2025, starting modestly higher in Q1 with NII expected to be $15.5 billion to $15.7 billion on a fully taxable equivalent basis by year-end. • Expense guidance is 2% to 3% growth in 2025. • CET1 level improved to $201 billion and CET1 ratio rose to 11.9%, remaining well above the new 10.7% requirement. • Expect net charge-off ratio to be in the range of 50 to 60 basis points of loans for 2025.

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Risks

• Wars, trade wars, and resource availability issues that could impact the economy. • Leverage in the system at higher levels than traditional, which could reverberate into the banking system. • Federal debt levels and potential pinch from state and federal spending that could slow growth.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Unpack drivers of NII growth in 2025, including loan growth vs rate/repricing tailwinds A: Alastair mentioned deposit growth is a key driver as deposits found their floor, and loan growth has picked up with more client activity. Also, fixed asset repricing and cash flow swaps roll off contribute.

Q: Confidence in delivering 200 bps of sustainable operating leverage A: Brian stated they've done it before, with revenue growth in businesses like Wealth Management and market-based businesses, and expense base flattening out.

Q: Deposit growth and paying down more expensive funding A: Alastair said deposit growth allows paying down higher cost liabilities, like institutional CDs coming down, and deposit growth helps with net interest yield.

Q: Thinking on CET1 target and buybacks A: Brian said they'll continue buybacks, with CET1 at 11.9% and a buffer in mind, and changes in capital rules could affect this.

Q: Risks in capital markets business and trading A: Brian mentioned the sales and trading team has 11 straight quarters of growth, with less volatility compared to some peers.

Q: Reserves and unemployment expectations A: Brian said reserves are weighted based on GDP and unemployment assumptions, with core assumption of GDP growth in low 2s and unemployment between 4.1% and 4.3%.

Q: Path to normalized net interest margin A: Brian said if the Fed funds rate stays higher, they'll get to normalized NIM faster, with factors like deposit dynamics and nominal rate environment playing a role.

Q: Sensitivity of NII to yield curve steepness A: Alastair stated short term drives most NII sensitivity, with deposit growth and loan growth being key drivers.

Q: Bank regulation and CET1 ratio A: Brian discussed industry advocacy for reducing volatility in CCAR and accounting changes increasing capital requirements, suggesting potential 100 basis points reduction if issues addressed.

Q: Consumer deposit growth and new accounts A: Brian credited brand, customer service, account structures, and digital capabilities for strong consumer deposit growth and net new checking accounts.

Q: Expense growth guidance and deceleration A: Brian mentioned markets-related business growth, completed remediation, and head count management as factors in decelerating expense growth.

Q: Incentive comp and BSBY hedges in 2025 A: Brian said incentive comp grows with markets, and BSBY hedges accrete back into P&L, with a couple hundred million benefit in Q4 and most taking place in 2025.

Q: Capital buffer and buybacks plan A: Brian said they want a 50 basis-point buffer, and wouldn't assume immediate reduction in CET1 ratio, but would adjust buybacks based on capital rules.

Q: Areas to lean into with extra capital A: Brian said none of the businesses are constrained by capital, and growth would continue based on risk balance and client demand.

Q: Credit quality and benign credit cycle A: Alastair said credit quality has been benign due to stable underwriting, strong consumer balance sheets, and stable commercial side.

Q: Risks to watch out for A: Brian mentioned wars, trade issues, resource availability, and leverage in the system as risks to watch.

Q: Small business optimism and C&I demand A: Brian said small business optimism is up, but translating that into activity and loan growth is key, with focus on regulation and ease of doing business affecting small businesses.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.82$0.78+5.5%$0.70
Revenue$25.35B$24.93B+1.7%$21.96B

Transcript

January 16, 2025

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